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CF40 Research: Three Channels to Expand Domestic Demand. An article published by Guan Wei of China Financial Forty Forum (CF40) pointed out that the expansion of total demand, whether it is to expand consumption or investment demand, should be implemented on credit growth. When credit goes up, residents, enterprises and governments have more money in their pockets, so do expenditures and incomes, as well as profits and investments. At present, there are three main ways to expand credit: first, fiscal policy is exerted and the government borrows money; Second, the monetary policy will exert its strength and reduce the policy interest rate; The third is to stabilize the real estate market, and there can be no further sharp decline. In terms of finance, maintain the intensity of fiscal expenditure in a broad sense, and moderately increase the fiscal deficit to 4% in 2025. In terms of monetary policy, we should take reducing the real interest rate as an important goal, continue to implement "strong interest rate reduction", and timely reduce the interest rate of structural monetary policy tools below the policy interest rate level. In terms of the property market, it will ease the current cash flow pressure faced by real estate enterprises and promote the real estate to stop falling and stabilize from both ends of supply and demand.Wall Street consultants expect the deal-making business to heat up in the Trump era. Wall Street M&A consultants said that the expected regulatory relaxation will promote M&A activities and initial public offerings in the coming year, and companies are regaining the transaction manual. Christina Minnis, head of global credit financing and global acquisitions at Goldman Sachs, said that given Donald Trump's policy commitments during the presidential campaign, "I think the outside world may think that M&A activities in the United States may be slightly strengthened."The commander of Syrian democratic forces said that under the mediation of the US, Syrian rebels and Syrian democratic forces reached a ceasefire agreement in the northern city of Mambiji.

Standard & Poor's: Downgrading Intel's rating to BBB, the outlook is stable. The recovery of the company's business activities is slow.EIA: The net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% in 2025. The us energy information administration (EIA) said on Tuesday that it is expected that the net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% to 1.9 million barrels per day next year, which will be the lowest level since 1971, suggesting that the output of the United States will increase and the demand of refineries will decrease. EIA said in its Short-term Energy Outlook in December that the US oil production is expected to increase from 13.24 million barrels per day in 2024 to 13.52 million barrels per day in 2025. EIA also said that the crude oil processing capacity of refineries will be 16 million barrels per day in 2025, a decrease of 200,000 barrels per day compared with 2024. EIA now predicts that the average spot price of Brent crude oil in 2025 will be $73.58 per barrel, which is lower than the previous forecast of $76.06 per barrel. The average spot price of crude oil in the United States is $69.12 per barrel, which is lower than the last forecast of $71.60 per barrel.The murder suspect of the CEO of the insurance giant resisted "extradition" to new york, and the protracted court offensive and defensive war was started. The suspect Luigi Mangione, who was shot dead by Brian Thompson, an executive of UnitedHealth Group Inc, in Manhattan, new york, USA, objected to extraditing himself to new york to face second-degree murder's charges, thus opening the curtain for a judicial procedure that may be a year without a month. On Tuesday (December 10th), at a court hearing in Pennsylvania, the defendant's lawyer said that he would fight against any request to transfer him to new york. "My client is not giving up the extradition hearing here today," said Thomas M. Dickey, Mangione's attorney.

US President Biden made a speech on the latest developments in Syria. US President Biden said that the collapse of the Assad regime is a historic opportunity for the Syrian people, and they can build a better future for their country. This is also a moment full of risks and uncertainties. Biden said: "When we all turn to the next step, the United States will cooperate with our partners and stakeholders in Syria to help them seize the opportunity to manage risks."The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)Ferrari CEO: Some parts of electric vehicles will be produced within the company, and other parts will be produced through strategic partners.